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OverMyHead
Grand Poobah Joined: March-14-2008 Location: MN Status: Offline Points: 4861 |
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Posted: April-23-2013 at 1:37am |
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3 to 6 inches of snow coming tonight. The earth gets no earth-day presents from me, infact I drove a few extra times around the block and threw a Styrofoam to go box out the widow.
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For thousands of years men have felt the irresistible urge to go to sea, and many of them died. Things got better after they invented boats.
1987 Ski Nautique |
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OverMyHead
Grand Poobah Joined: March-14-2008 Location: MN Status: Offline Points: 4861 |
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Speaking of earth day, why is it that world CO2 emissions have risen 30% since 1998 but temperatures have not increased at all in that same time period? I thought CO2 was the root of all evil. Did somebody fib?
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For thousands of years men have felt the irresistible urge to go to sea, and many of them died. Things got better after they invented boats.
1987 Ski Nautique |
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jbach
Senior Member Joined: September-24-2012 Location: Kentucky Status: Offline Points: 140 |
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that debate has long since jumped the boundary between science and politics. I trust very little data since the leaked email fiasco. always an agenda.
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TX Foilhead
Grand Poobah Joined: February-01-2009 Location: Kingsland TX Status: Offline Points: 2076 |
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Don't worry, they'll refine the message to explain everything a little better before too long. I'm sure they' can find a more average description to explain why everything is not average, just give them some time.
First year we were going to run out of flood and have an ice age in the 80's, next we were going to cook. That didn't work so we moved to climate change which can go either way and CO2 which gets produced from by dam near everything that doesn't used it for food. I think for the most part they can't remember the current message since its a little tot close to 4/20. |
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The words----------Global warming.. really do NOT mean warm temps.
The real meaning is ERATIC weather patterns.. Snow now,in almost May-- real warm in say- December where it should be much colder.. Nothing to do with High temps...or the word WARMING.. I just got a real rush saying this-- Now I know what Mr. Peter must feel like to always be right... WOW-- Amazing feeling.. all through my body! I just hope it is not to addictive! |
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OverMyHead
Grand Poobah Joined: March-14-2008 Location: MN Status: Offline Points: 4861 |
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There is another term for erratic weather temps, "weather".
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For thousands of years men have felt the irresistible urge to go to sea, and many of them died. Things got better after they invented boats.
1987 Ski Nautique |
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phatsat67
Grand Poobah Joined: March-13-2006 Location: Indiana Status: Offline Points: 6157 |
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My term for erratic weather patterns "Indiana"
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davidg
Grand Poobah Joined: January-07-2008 Location: NW Chicagoland Status: Offline Points: 2239 |
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I was listening to a radio talk show yesterday. A lady calls in and told her story about how, when she was a young girl in 1970 (when Earth Day started), she was really scared by it. The people that sponsored it were telling of gloom and doom...plants wouldn't grow, and people would freeze. She said she was went to her dad crying, and asking how he was was going to be able to provide heat for their house, food for the family, etc, etc.
Fast forward to today. Weren't school kids being forced to watch ALGORE's "global warming/climate change/erratic weather" video a few years back, back when some people still believed. Same reaction.....kids come home scared to death that the world is coming to an end as they know it. I call that a soft form of indoctrination. Get 'em believing in the cause when they are young, and you have 'em for life to help promote the agenda. Today, when I hear a politician talk bout needing higher taxes, or new laws, to reduce global warming, I think to myself how cute it is they still believe and are trying to get the rest of us to believe too. But, apparently, some still do. |
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Hansel
Senior Member Joined: September-21-2006 Location: Twin Cities, MN Status: Offline Points: 415 |
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Hi Everybody,
You don't have to "believe" in "global warming" or "climate change" for it to be real. This has been hashed over to death on this forum (let alone the rest of the internet) already, but of course it was bound to come up with the cold spring that we have been experiencing in the Midwest (and maybe other places too?). I'm simply here to remind you that while it may seem crazy to you and your buddies to take climate change seriously, among people who actually study the phenomenon or who have a large stake in the outcome (I think it is worth mentioning that this includes the Dept. of Defense) it is no laughing matter. The world is already far warmer than it was only a few decades ago, and it will be much warmer by the end of your lifetimes. It is also worth mentioning that the "global cooling" media hype of the 1970s was just that; hype. In fact serious science has been predicting an increase in global mean temperatures as a result of increased carbon dioxide in the atmosphere since at least the 1960s. So you can add predictions of an ice age in the 1980s to the long list of debunked attempts to discredit the scientific community (ala "climategate"). I guess what I want to know is what makes you think you know more about climate than people who study it? We all know people on this site that are experts in props, fiberglass repair, engine rebuilding, etc. It isn't often that I see their expertise thrown in their face and called "silly." Most CCFans have respect for people who have experience and who have learned the ins and outs of these boats. Don't you think you should give the same respect to the thousands of scientists all over the world who are trying to tell us what we are doing to the planet? |
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phatsat67
Grand Poobah Joined: March-13-2006 Location: Indiana Status: Offline Points: 6157 |
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Didn't Mt. St. Helens release more Carbon into the atomsphere than all vehicles on earth combined since the introduction of internal combustion?
Nuff said. |
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davidg
Grand Poobah Joined: January-07-2008 Location: NW Chicagoland Status: Offline Points: 2239 |
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Here is a great article about the "godfather of climate change", James Lovelock, changing course on the whole issue. He admits he got a little caught up in the moment, and admits that, as Obama would probably say, "he got out over his ski's" on this one.
Many scientists have also debunked global warming as well. Plus, remember the hacked email scandal in the UK a few years ago that caught the global warming rascals with their hand in the the global warming cookie jar. I am certainly no expert on global warming, nor do I profess to be. My guess is you aren't either Hansel (maybe I am wrong about that), although I know you are very well educated and if not mistaken are either a graduate student or professor at UW Madison. We can both read all the available articles, and look at opinions and trends, and form our opinions from them. I am with the crowd that says man made global warming is not as big of deal as its been made out to be. However, I will be the first to admit that I think the earth does go through natural climate cycles. You know, just like the ones that formed all these beautiful lakes we ski on when the glaciers melted millions of years ago. I am pretty sure that was not caused by man made pollution. Jame Lovelock Article on Global Warming....He was "Too Alarmist" |
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DeepCreekNauti
Senior Member Joined: October-21-2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 156 |
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We need to just ban global warming or pass "common sense" laws that will only allow the earth to warm a few degrees at a time.
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ononewheel
Gold Member Joined: June-21-2011 Location: B Status: Offline Points: 776 |
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Completely
Frickin Astounding. Where is the CROWD you are with? No really. You are standing with people whom still think the Earth is flat. |
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If we let the professionals do everything it takes all the fun out of youtube
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GlassSeeker
Grand Poobah Joined: November-26-2008 Location: Elk Grove, CA. Status: Offline Points: 2421 |
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This is the life
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ononewheel
Gold Member Joined: June-21-2011 Location: B Status: Offline Points: 776 |
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Like Dave is credible.
Plastic. Pays Daves bills. |
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If we let the professionals do everything it takes all the fun out of youtube
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Bones71
Senior Member Joined: March-09-2013 Location: Bettendorf Ia Status: Offline Points: 334 |
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If you want to see something interesting about global warming check out "chasing ice" on you tube or tv. I don't have much of an opinion on this stuff but this documentary is very interesting. Check it out. Bones.
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SNobsessed
Grand Poobah Joined: October-21-2007 Location: IA Status: Offline Points: 7102 |
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Regardless of what you believe, most people are not going to change their behavior until it is economically prudent to do so. Unless, of course it becomes against the law to water ski
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“Beer is proof that God loves us and wants us to be happy.”
Ben Franklin |
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fanofccfan
Platinum Member Joined: December-13-2009 Location: North Bend NE Status: Offline Points: 1791 |
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We all wish we could change mother natures behavior but we can't. She has been doing her own thing since the beginning of time. With that said....I want winter to go away and let summer begin. I have boats that need to get used.
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OverMyHead
Grand Poobah Joined: March-14-2008 Location: MN Status: Offline Points: 4861 |
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There are many scientist that feel global warming is nothing more than an environmentalist belief system. A consensus is not science. If you have been following the oil filter threads, you will have find a consensus here that Fram filters are all junk,so can we just stop there? Recently some new testing is showing that the consensus might very well be wrong at least in part. The fact is historically a consensus of science has often been wrong, and a single scientist bucking the trend has often been proven to be correct. The leaked UN climate report has the three UN sponsored global warming studies all falling short on predicted temperature rise. Two at the bottom of a wide margin of error for their predictions, and one with temps falling below the margin of error proving it to be invalid. If science really understood what is happening and had accurate predictions they should be seeing actual temps falling close to the mean of their predictions.
Jamin, It comes up when its cool just like climate change gets brought up by the mainstream media, every time it snows, or does not snow. or it is warm, or not warm, or there is a hurricane, or no hurricanes. That is just a little to convenient. you did not address my original question.
This is something that has scientist baffled and the global climate change people in a tizzy. We have been told that Increased CO2 in the atmosphere will raise temperatures, and that the CO2 that man has produced is significant, and yet when we increase our CO2 out put by 30 percent we see no temperature increase. Either the CO2 is not doing what we think, or we have greatly overstated the power man has over the planet. You ask us to ignore own experience n favor of a science that demands an awful lot from us but does not deliver on its conclusions.
The only thing that is constant about climate is change. This planet has been both far warmer and far cooler than it is now. There are natural climate cycles that were going on long before man produced any CO2, and they will go on long after we are gone. The cause and effect correlation of man produced CO2 and temperature rise is illustrated in my initial question. Where is the correlation. We can not predict next weeks temperature with any real accuracy. Your statement that the planet will be far warmer by the end of our lifetimes is pure wishful conjecture.
The global cooling hype in the 70's came from the science community and was hyped by the environmentalists. They blamed pollution. Their solution to stop cooling was to do what environmentalist always want us to do, conserve, stop advancing, stop consuming, and pay them to help save us. Their dire predictions did not come true, but we cleaned up the pollution anyway. With global warming environmentalists again hyped what the scientists were telling us. They blamed CO2, something that we find naturally everywhere on the planet, we can never get rid of it all so they have a permanent crisis. Their solution to stop warming was to do what environmentalist always want us to do, conserve, stop advancing, stop consuming, and pay them to help save us. Again the warming stopped and did not pan out so now we have global climate change, the environmentalists can hype any change in the weather, so they avoid the traps they had previously set for themselves. They can preach their religion of conservation, stop advancing, stop consuming, and pay them to help save us. No matter what happens they can blame it on CO2. How can we possibly be sure this is not more hype just like in the 70's? Fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice, shame on me. This is all a little to convenient.
We repeatedly see that our members do far better stringer work than "professional" shops. Don't sell them short on any subject. People being paid to study things are always suspect due to the money, we freely recognize this with tobacco and oil industry studies, but refuse to acknowledge it in academic research. Always follow the money, and there is big research money available based on man made global warming being real. Jamin, you seem to have your mind made up and dont want to be bothered with any additional in formation that might change it. That is not a good mindset for a scientist. If your only allowed conclusion is climate change is real, that is the only one you can ever each. Open your mind, science is about proof, not a consensus. |
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For thousands of years men have felt the irresistible urge to go to sea, and many of them died. Things got better after they invented boats.
1987 Ski Nautique |
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Hansel
Senior Member Joined: September-21-2006 Location: Twin Cities, MN Status: Offline Points: 415 |
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Hi Dave, I don't have time to rehash an old conversation, or go back and forth on who says what and why. Look, when it comes to science you've got it completely backwards. I know because I do science for a living. Science isn't about "proof" at all, and in fact is largely based on consensus. It is true that at times individuals or small groups have bucked the consensus. If their arguments were persuasive and backed repeatedly by good data in the form of observation and experimentation the consensus has changed. That is the beauty and power of science; its ability to take in new information and shift a consensus. It is happening all the time. I suspect you actually know very little about how science, and by extension academia, truly works. Do you know any professional scientists? Have you ever visited a university research lab? Do you read peer-reviewed literature on climate change? I live these things everyday. Do you? Please correct me if I am wrong. I do have an open mind and have changed by beliefs in the face of real challenges to established paradigms. The problem is that the issues you and others point to ("climategate", volcanoes, sun spots, long-term natural cycles in climate, a UN conspiracy) have all been investigated at length and they have not been able to change the consensus. The evidence for climate change comes from a wealth of data from all over the world over many decades of research. It is supremely robust. With all due respect Dave, you don't know what you are talking about. There isn't a thing you can teach a climate scientist about climate or science that they don't already know. Stop sowing doubt about science and scientists until you know something about it. You are confusing yourself, and worst of all, other people. Peace, I'm out. I've got stuff to do and the dock/boat/lift is going in on Monday! |
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jbach
Senior Member Joined: September-24-2012 Location: Kentucky Status: Offline Points: 140 |
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mind... blown... you know what i've found to be the most important benefit of the recent climate-gate scandal? it was not revealing how the leading climate scientists were purposely manipulating data, methods, and peer reviews to exaggerate the evidence of significant global warming to fit an agenda, but rather, it was how the scandal has all but permanently deflated the rhetorical value of the phrase “scientific consensus.” what type of science do ya do for a living? |
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GlassSeeker
Grand Poobah Joined: November-26-2008 Location: Elk Grove, CA. Status: Offline Points: 2421 |
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The Dustbowl is a lesson in man playing with nature causing unintended consequences. Caused by natural weather and human activity.
There is your precedent. |
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This is the life
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davidg
Grand Poobah Joined: January-07-2008 Location: NW Chicagoland Status: Offline Points: 2239 |
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Science is really basically only concensus among well educated peers with a certain point of view/agenda?!?! REALLY!
So, if you get enough brilliant scientists, professors, and UN bureaucrats together in a room that all want to believe it is night, when it is actually day, it will be so because they all agree that its night!?! Oooookkay! I work with brilliant PhD's in the PLASTICS industry every day. I will have to ask them about this consensus theory. I had never heard that before. Okay, I am going to wander over to the edge of the earth now and look over and take in the wonderful view. |
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OverMyHead
Grand Poobah Joined: March-14-2008 Location: MN Status: Offline Points: 4861 |
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Wow, that scares the crap out of me if that is what the scientific community now believes. Theory is about consensus but when it comes to studies and hypotheses it is about proof. Look back to Galileo, and he had to agree with the consensus to save his life despite his research proving the earth moved around the sun. There is no proof that man has a significant effect on climate change. We are legislating based on unproven theory, causing our society hardships, and impacting Our countries ability to compete in a global market. The studies are worth while, but action should be based on proven science. A huge red flag for me that the movement is political is the fact that fellow scientists label others "deniers" in an attempt to discredit them rather than evaluating the merits of their research.
That is demeaning and dismissive, but I understand the theory of discrediting the arguer if you cannot discredit their argument. I do not question climate change based on ignorance, but on experience. I like science and am amazed at what we have accomplished with it. I have a college degree (I graduated with a 3.91 GPA so I even paid attention). In the University of Minnesota system I took biology, botany, zoology, multiple geology classes (I can still recite the geologic time scale after having to memorize it in 1981), I learned anatomy in the med schools cadaver lab. As a paramedic I learned cellular physiology,chemistry and pharmacology. For my business management degree I studied research techniques and statistics. I may not be a "scientist" but I am not a stranger to the field. My sister worked on the Joides resolution research ship Staffed by Texas A&M researchers. They drilled core samples around the globe analyzing age and magnetic orientation to "prove" the "theory" of plate tectonics, which is no longer considered theory. (very cool) I have read Peer reviewed studies. I understand their place in academia, and they are a great source for very specific information, but a very inefficient way to consume volumes of information, having to get through ten pages of @$$ kissing and covering to find half a page of useful data. I prefer journals for the level of information I seek.
Climate gate was huge, but was widely ignored because of the consensus, and their media accomplices. It showed collusion to misrepresent/manipulate hard data, and obstruct anyone wanting to investigate further. Duplication of results is a cornerstone of science but the climate scientist would not share the raw data pools. That is a smoking gun. The decades of research have mostly shared the very same manipulated data as their source material. Another corner stone is correlation. There is far greater correlation with the earths temperature and solar changes than there is with CO2 in the atmosphere. I would like to hear a convincing argument that the UN is not a corrupt US hating organization that would happily use doctored science to break US economic dominance.
I don't claim to be able to teach anything to a climate scientist, only to have the education and experience to have good grasp on the situation. I will give you some slack for being young and naive. You have learned what the system has taught you and bought into the possible snake oil hype. Human nature drives us to believe in what we do. As a paramedic I spent years pumping sodium bicarb into cardiac arrest patients, and saw anecdotal evidence that it worked. While giving some short term results studies reveled that there was long term alkalosis consequences post cardiac arrest. I remember the struggle with accepting that what the consensus had us all doing for decades was harming the patients in my care. It was science and consensus that came up with the theory of using bicarb. It was real studies that proved the theory wrong and dangerous. Prior to being convinced of bicarbs dangers I would have preached its benefits till I was blue in the face. It turns out I had been sold snake oil and bought into it. I have learned a few things over the years from my snake oil purchases. One is to be wary of a product that claims to grow hair on a bald head, but stop ear hair growth, improve liver function, stop gout, make the tall shorter, the short taller, the blind to see and the deaf to hear. Nothing does everything. When I hear climate change makes more rain or less rain, higher temperatures or lower temperatures, more storms or fewer storms....... I suspect a snake oil salesman, and will approach them with healthy skepticism. Especially when they first claimed cold only, then hot only, but found neither theory sustainable. My original correlation question has still gone unaddressed.
Glad to here you are moving into the summer season. Our lakes are still frozen, so I am waiting for the climate to change. I may get out to at least do my terrorist check on Saturday. |
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For thousands of years men have felt the irresistible urge to go to sea, and many of them died. Things got better after they invented boats.
1987 Ski Nautique |
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quinner
Grand Poobah Joined: October-12-2005 Location: Unknown Status: Offline Points: 5828 |
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Hansel, how do you explain Green Lake usually being choppy? Many wind farms in that area which would lead one to believe, there is a reason, is it easily explained?
More importantly, will we see you there in July?? |
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Hansel
Senior Member Joined: September-21-2006 Location: Twin Cities, MN Status: Offline Points: 415 |
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Haha, Chris. I love that you posted just now. Dave often posts late too. What is up with CCFans being night owls?
I've never been there, but looking at Green Lake on a map I'd say it is often choppy because it is longest in the east-west direction and most wind in this part of the world comes from the west. Not sure about the wind farms, but there is a lot of flat, open land in that area (I have driven through the area in the winter) so I suppose that would explain things. I hope to make it in July! As davidg suspected I am a graduate student, but am wrapping things up and looking for a job. It is hard to say what will happen but as I've mentioned before Green Lake has been on the "to-do" list for a long time. I was always working far away during the summer so I could never make it in the past (as long as I have known about CCFan). If I do make it, we better share a few beers. I've also often entertained joining the Chicago crew for beers, but being a typical Madison hippie I don't own a car and I don't think I would make it there in time on my bike. Whether you "believe" in climate change or not, I know we'd get along Chris because I am a disciple of the kneeboard when it comes to long line footin'. |
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quinner
Grand Poobah Joined: October-12-2005 Location: Unknown Status: Offline Points: 5828 |
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Forget the job, tell Gretel she needs to work harder, lol
Cool, hope you can make GL, would be great to meet you and do a double BF KB kick off with ya!! |
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P71_CrownVic
Gold Member Joined: July-07-2008 Location: SD Status: Offline Points: 534 |
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The only thing real about Global Warming is the fact that people are exploiting the non-event to get rich.
The left loves a manufactured crisis. Look at all of the trillions of dollars that have been completely wasted on green initiatives? It's a scam, of the highest order. |
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OverMyHead
Grand Poobah Joined: March-14-2008 Location: MN Status: Offline Points: 4861 |
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For thousands of years men have felt the irresistible urge to go to sea, and many of them died. Things got better after they invented boats.
1987 Ski Nautique |
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P71_CrownVic
Gold Member Joined: July-07-2008 Location: SD Status: Offline Points: 534 |
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I didn't realize ALGORE was that jaundice... |
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