US Economy - American Manufacturing |
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skierbrant
Senior Member Joined: September-24-2004 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 243 |
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Posted: May-01-2009 at 12:03am |
Here is my 2 cents on what I see has been happening with the economy. 1st off, I started seeing a downward trend with the economy back in 2000 after President Clinton signed an agreement to allow the US to import (NAFTA) from China and made China the Most Favored Nation.
I came from the Tool and Die industry where we manufactured metal stamping dies mostly for the automotive industry. We saw a dramatic drop off of quoting in 2001. The main reason was because our customers started bragging how cheap they could buy tooling from China. What it costs us to buy steal, China was making two complete dies for. Well you certainly cant compete with that! America has always thrived on manufacturing. I dont know the numbers of how many smaller mom and pop shops that used to be around that are no longer, but I would say that the average income of most of the people working in them was around $70k. Most of these people are struggling finding different work making half of what they use to. It took 8 years to finally hit the rest of the US (housing etc.) and Im sure there is more involved than just that but that is what I have seen. Im still involved in manufacturing and its still a struggle to keep busy. I have had to lay off a dozen people in my department in the last three monthes and my company has let over 120 people go since last October. When is our government going to realize that we need to start taking care of our own country? I am interested of other views that you all have about what is happening to our economy! |
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eric lavine
Grand Poobah Joined: August-13-2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 13413 |
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for the record, old man bush conjured up Nafta and officially signed it before he left office. that same election year as it was revised to the likings....Clinton made it law after 6 short months in office
that was for the record, and i agree, the core of this country was manufacturing, its not a debate about what is a better car its about where is a better place to live....here or under the rule of the red dot...its time to be brainwashed again and if you purchase, label shop for products made here. thats all it would take, 1 year of refusing to purchase foriegn made goods. think about it |
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"the things you own will start to own you"
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eric lavine
Grand Poobah Joined: August-13-2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 13413 |
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all this sht is doing is bringing down the value of the dollar, the ones that are laid off permanantly are setting up store fronts....painting, landscaping, boat repair, plumbing.....the only thing is, to get the business they drop the prices, it creates competition and price drop along with qaulity drop. when i say de-value the dollar this is part of it, a house that was 300k is now 150k that means in reality 3 years ago you couldnt afford it but now that its priced where it should be in theory you now could afford to buy that same house
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"the things you own will start to own you"
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BuffaloBFN
Grand Poobah Joined: June-24-2007 Location: Gainesville,GA Status: Offline Points: 6094 |
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Votes apparently have price tags.
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65 'cuda
Platinum Member Joined: July-12-2005 Location: Cincinnati, OH Status: Offline Points: 1091 |
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That's all wrong, we live in a post industrial economy now, (service sector), we're all going to eat at each others restaurants, buy insurance from each other and advertise on each others web sites, we don't need to make anything, just ask the politicians and the academics. It's much better for our economy if we can buy our goods at 30 cents on the dollar from china or mexico.
Brant is right, wall street wanted free trade, and they got it, they offshored all the jobs and leveraged the resulting profits in derivatives and securitized debt. The tipping point came last summer when energy prices quadrupled, now we were offshoring those last marginal dollars that were keeping the whole scheme afloat. Eighty years ago, Henry ford had it right, he knew then that he had to pay his workers enough to afford his cars. Got to go to work! |
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SNobsessed
Grand Poobah Joined: October-21-2007 Location: IA Status: Offline Points: 7102 |
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Eric - this logic only works for those lucky enough to still have a job. FWIW, I have seen a shift away from sourcing in low-cost countries. |
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“Beer is proof that God loves us and wants us to be happy.”
Ben Franklin |
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BuffaloBFN
Grand Poobah Joined: June-24-2007 Location: Gainesville,GA Status: Offline Points: 6094 |
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FairTax now and it all comes home...before another country does it; and a few are looking at it.
Nice Gary! |
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eric lavine
Grand Poobah Joined: August-13-2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 13413 |
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Kapla or Luch put up some good examples of labor costs in a country that really has no industry....more people than work.
I still say we are all puppets and have no control including the President, last year was a good example of the rich getting richer....you got a cool million sitting around, gas is 2 bucks a gallon, they put a shortage scare out there, prior to the scare you dumped that milly into petrol stocks, it shoots up to 4 bucks a gallon and you pull out your 2 millys, the price doubled and so did the profits, inside info and the rich are have access to this info |
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"the things you own will start to own you"
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eric lavine
Grand Poobah Joined: August-13-2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 13413 |
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oh, and control of the info
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"the things you own will start to own you"
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8122pbrainard
Grand Poobah Joined: September-14-2006 Location: Three Lakes Wi. Status: Offline Points: 41045 |
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Brant, We (Wiconsin tool and Stamping) are seeing work come back from China! Yes, it's not much but something. They can't maintain the quality when needed. We too have seen our fair share of Chinese dies. I'm glad to see that comming to a end as well. We have been able to convince our customers that you get what you pay for. All of the chinese dies required more work ($$) here to correct them than what the purchase cost was!! Some came over without even been closed - the sample piece parts to the customer had been lazered and hand formed!!! Single piece wire burnt die plates 4 foot square (no bushings) do not make for a serviceable die. Steel? God doesn't even know what they use but a few hits in the press tells the truth!! It's a struggle in the stamping biz!! |
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h20loo
Senior Member Joined: August-30-2008 Location: Canada Status: Offline Points: 225 |
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I find your comments interesting and hopeful(on my part). My son has recently been visiting campuses of schools where he has been accepted for Civil Engineering. At least three times I heard "tool and die is a dead trade and the Cdn Gov't is paying to retrain workers and a few are coming to our program". The statement was also made that a Cdn manufactured die worth$300,000 could be made offshore, imported with the tooling to set it up for 1/3 the cost. Rather than repair the die they would order a new one for less than the Cdn repair cost.
All of this is second hand but I have a few good friends that work for ATS and a college buddy who has a small tool and die firm and it really bothers me that we send so much of our raw materials offshore and buy so much inferior junk in return and still fall short on the balance of trade and I don't think the US is much different. Eric- what was the last article of clothing that you bought that was actually made in the US. I swear the only thing I have is the work socks my SIL knit for me from wool made just north of here.I use to be a big Eddie Bauer fan but even their sources have changed. Even some restoration car parts from a big US supplier came with China on them and must have been made from some of the dies that Peter talked about because they were way off. We still do make toilet paper though and yes it fits!!! Just a morning rant... |
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70 Mustang project
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skierbrant
Senior Member Joined: September-24-2004 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 243 |
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Pete, It's good to hear that some of the work is coming back. It looks like the size of WTS is close to the size of the company where I was (Bank closed us in '03). Several of our biggest costomers closed their doors and really made it a struggle for us. We did see several cheap dies from China with 1/2" thick stripper plates and no die life. Made me sick. I worked at Chrysler Belvidere Assembly Plant in the Stamping Dept last year and all of their dies came from Korea. Talk about junk. Luckily with JIT, we would only run maybe 1000 hits at the most, and then would have to pull out and sharpen. Dies should last much longer than that. We used to run 20,000 pcs at a time and still not have much to fix. |
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skierbrant
Senior Member Joined: September-24-2004 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 243 |
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Pete,
Are you guys hiring? |
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8122pbrainard
Grand Poobah Joined: September-14-2006 Location: Three Lakes Wi. Status: Offline Points: 41045 |
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Brant, No, it's real tough for us too. We are down to 4 day weeks and overlapping shifts so production is a 12 hour day. The only thing we have still going pretty strong is Tower Automotive frame parts for the Ford light trucks. Seems they are still selling! Junk old dies producing crude parts but it's keeping the presses running. We still have some Sony work - high end chassis that China couldn't handle!! Then it's just the ods and ends that any job shop stamper has. Our tool room is down to two tool makers and the foreman from the glory days of 3 shifts/30 toolmakers. Of course that was when we were building dies so about half of them we "new tool" and the rest repair. It's not pretty out there for tool and die makers. Yeh, thin stripper plates and one piece. Then there's the guide pins and bushings that look like toothpicks. You're lucky if the are caged ball bushings!! |
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harddock
Platinum Member Joined: June-04-2008 Location: Toontown, MA Status: Offline Points: 1763 |
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The government involvement is not helping. It either taxes or overregulates to the point where business has to look to other areas, even other countries to be competitive. So many items these days are deemed throw away that the Chinese stuff (though inferior) is acceptable.
I live in an area that had thriving shoe and textile factories when I was a kid. They are all gone today. Everything that was made here is now foreign. |
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skierbrant
Senior Member Joined: September-24-2004 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 243 |
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Rockford Tool Craft here in Rockford is the only die shop that has stayed fairly busy in this area. They have been in business since '76 and have added onto there buildings every year since. I heard that this year was the first year that they were slow. I never applied to work there because they were a competitor of ours and we live in a town where every die maker seems to know what you are up to! I hated that! It just doesn't seem like our government gets what they are doing to our country. Why would we want to take work away? Until they tax the heck out of imports, I'm not seeing much of an improvement for a while. |
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skierbrant
Senior Member Joined: September-24-2004 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 243 |
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I work for a fastener cold forming company now. We are down to 4 days a week also. All of us salaried personnel took a 10% pay cut in January and haven't seen it come back. April we got to take 5 days off without pay. And now Monday I get to tell 8 of my 69 people that they no longer have a job. I'm not to happy about that.
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8122pbrainard
Grand Poobah Joined: September-14-2006 Location: Three Lakes Wi. Status: Offline Points: 41045 |
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Brant,
Trust me, for the time being you're lucky with with only a 10% cut. I've been on a 20% (salaried) for several months as well as a week of no production/no pay but still had to come to work!! They (our employers) have us between the old proverbial "rock and a hard place". The "bad" ones know there's no place for us to go so they they are taking advantage of us!! The promises are there for a payback but I'm certainly not banking on it. Are you driving now between Rockford and Machesney Park, IL?? That's not a easy drive!!! BTW, in another thread, there is a comment regarding a union local walking out because there contract is expired. Where have these people been in the the last year????? Do they really now what's going on?? Union whores!! Yes, I have now opened myself up to a major controversy/can of worms!! Before it gets real deep. I'd like to say that the unions served a very good purpose. That was back in the days when they protected the worker from unfair or unsafe working conditions. Now, they are whores!! Before I get dumped on even farther, the "CEO's of the major corps are really and truly the biggest whores!!! Brant, you got me on a "roll"!! |
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Gary S
Grand Poobah Joined: November-30-2006 Location: Illinois Status: Offline Points: 14096 |
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I thought I was the only one who thought this. In June of 01 my wife's large telecommunications company offered her a early retirement which she took.To this day the company still has not recovered. 9/11 came along changing everyones lives, but the seeds were already planted. |
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79TiqueRebuild
Senior Member Joined: January-21-2009 Location: Kansas City, Mo Status: Offline Points: 238 |
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I know there is a lot of anti union feelings especially in these times. Yes there were good things that all workers have gotten because of the unions. And yes there are a lot of people that hide behind the unions. I feel that we (CWA) are just trying to keep what benefits we have for us and retirees and help the new workers just starting out ie two tier wages AT&T made 12.9 BILLION in profit last year.They also paid the top 5 Executives 33.5 MILLION in 2008. Not to mention their other perks. I feel that Corporate Greed started this whole mess. It used to be your spouse worked so you could get ahead now its just to keep afloat. The Middle class is a dieing breed and I like what Gary said Pay them enough so they can buy the cars. Thats my rant! Monty |
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eric lavine
Grand Poobah Joined: August-13-2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 13413 |
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I still have a damn hard time figuring out who ok'd these loans and at what level, i dont think another bank would want to buy that risk either knowing default was down the road.
Ive seen these approved loan apps, 45k a year and they were buying a 350k house.....if that came across my desk a red flag would go up, my question is: how high up the ladder did these apps go because they had to go past the underwriters and to the managers desk and who approved them? |
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"the things you own will start to own you"
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harddock
Platinum Member Joined: June-04-2008 Location: Toontown, MA Status: Offline Points: 1763 |
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I agree. They became too powerful. It is a shame that they don't have unions in all these foriegn countries. That would help level the playing field. |
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eric lavine
Grand Poobah Joined: August-13-2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 13413 |
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The unions are a topic on thier own, yes, there were needed at one time, the term protect the workers is an understatement, it protects them from wrong doings is all that means. now this is coming from working side by side with these guys and there is alot of good guys out there, but there were also alot of bad,
alot of ingredients killed the economy, a little greed, a little corruption, but i think the biggest economy killer is the Auto industry, it is a large tree with many branches that fed many families. everything ties into the industry. other countries are thriving THRIVING because of the choice we make to purchase thier products and a good indication of this is they are seeing the effects of our slow economy. our large tree is gone, gone, gone, and people are throwing thier hands up in the air and wondering what happened? |
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"the things you own will start to own you"
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BuffaloBFN
Grand Poobah Joined: June-24-2007 Location: Gainesville,GA Status: Offline Points: 6094 |
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Take from this what you will...
Chris Rock said something to the tune of "we can send a man to the moon and we can't make a caddy with a front bumper that don't fall off"... |
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eric lavine
Grand Poobah Joined: August-13-2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 13413 |
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Imagine, 30 years probably in the 100 millions, buying something anywhere from $6000.00 to nowadays $40,000 that adds up to a number that doesnt exist, put it all in a box and send it to another country.
that other country recieves the box which empowers them, now, we can build nukes, we can build manufacture plants, we can pay our army, fck, we can do anything we damn well please....sht the US did it in the 50's 60's and 70's and they gave up that power. life is like a game of Risk (milton Bradley) no different. we are looking for someone to put the blame on, the government, the housing collapse, bad products blah blah blah, in hind sight the consumer created the problems, anyway you spin it. Now, you have a choice, to be part of the problem or part of the solution, it took 30 years for China and Japan to become what it is today because of the US consumer, we have the ability as the consumer to make the choice not for us but for our kids. sorry guys, its a simple fix |
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"the things you own will start to own you"
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eric lavine
Grand Poobah Joined: August-13-2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 13413 |
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imagine if that money stayed here.......
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"the things you own will start to own you"
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BuffaloBFN
Grand Poobah Joined: June-24-2007 Location: Gainesville,GA Status: Offline Points: 6094 |
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1 more time...FairTax. It's estimated that 13 trillion would come home. Companies go where they can afford to be in business. Irish revolution? |
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eric lavine
Grand Poobah Joined: August-13-2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 13413 |
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now that would be some cash flow..im for fair tax Greg, with brackets, i feel the rich should pay more taxes
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"the things you own will start to own you"
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eric lavine
Grand Poobah Joined: August-13-2006 Location: United States Status: Offline Points: 13413 |
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and a cazillion if we purchased all US products lol
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"the things you own will start to own you"
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79TiqueRebuild
Senior Member Joined: January-21-2009 Location: Kansas City, Mo Status: Offline Points: 238 |
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Yeah!!
Was that a sucking sound I've been hearing? |
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